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#character-encoding UTF-8
#player1 Morris_Greenberg Morris Greenberg
#player2 Cynthia_Seales Cynthia Seales
>Morris_Greenberg: ?CDEINR 8F DiNERIC +74 74
>Cynthia_Seales: AHW 7G HAW +36 36
>Morris_Greenberg: AEGQRUW 6F WAGER +34 108
>Cynthia_Seales: MOO 5D MOO +15 51
>Morris_Greenberg: ACGGQUV 4B QUAG +39 147
>Cynthia_Seales: EIPSTTU 9A PUTTIES +71 122
>Morris_Greenberg: ACGLTVV K7 V.VAT +22 169
#note Quackle slightly prefers CLA(P)T
>Cynthia_Seales: EEJ A6 JEE. +39 161
>Morris_Greenberg: CFGILPY J10 FIG +30 199
#note (U)GLIFY is a good play too. I forget if I missed it in the moment or chose this to be a bit more defensive, I think it was the latter.
>Cynthia_Seales: DEEILRT C7 RE.ITLED +70 231
>Morris_Greenberg: CELPUYY 12A PU.LEY +28 227
>Cynthia_Seales: H B9 .H +26 257
>Morris_Greenberg: AACIOSY A12 .ACY +33 260
#note Quackle likes YA or YO 11E almost equally. I thought the extra 8 points and blocking worst case scenario of PREZ makes this preferable in a human game.
>Cynthia_Seales: BSTU 13J STUB +20 277
>Morris_Greenberg: AEIINOS 11E NAOI +17 277
#note I considered both (C)O(D)EIN and (C)O(D)EIA here too, ultimately decided keeping Ns here is pretty bad given the pool, and more importantly, the spot created from those other two plays just was too risky. Quackle agrees.
>Cynthia_Seales: DIOT H11 .DIOT +24 301
#note I was expecting the M as the final tile here, definitely was happier with this.
>Morris_Greenberg: EIIIMRS -II +0 277
#note I missed the awesome (QUAG)MIRE here, I'd play that if I see it. I considered fishy plays like (Q)I, I ultimately thought if I am going to try going for bingos, I need to get one quickly to the point where taking 11 fewer points was better. Quackle prefers (C)I(D)ER or (Q)I by ~1% (and QUAGMIRE by 6%).
>Cynthia_Seales: ENOX 5J OXEN +24 325
>Morris_Greenberg: DEIMORS 15E MOR.ISED +63 340
#note I really considered forgoing the bingo here with MODI 4J, I figured Cynthia would hit the spot above OXEN so often for a bunch of points often that my lead would be short-lived after this. However, I figured with the blank and Z unseen and no real sign that she has either yet, it is best to bingo immediately and play the odds to draw the right stuff. With no inference, Quackle gives this a 40.5% chance to win and MODI is next best at 36% chance.
>Cynthia_Seales: ABEKR 4H BAKER +48 373
>Morris_Greenberg: AAFIORS 3G OAF +24 364
#note I realized that (1) even if Cynthia has the blank, she will miss bingos often with synergistic tiles - e.g., EILNNO? doesn't have playable bingos on the board and forces her into an endgame that requires some precision, (2) the Z and blank are really great tiles to my AIRS leave so going for all 3 tiles could be nice in that respect, and (3) given the lines available on the board AIRS seems optimal drawing for bingos when the blank and Z aren't in the bag too (e.g., NAILERS or ERASION if I draw ELN or ENO), which still give me the win if she can't adequately block. This looks like a 50-50% with optimal play, and I don't see anything better.
>Cynthia_Seales: ?EILNNO 2B ELOIgN +12 385
#note Cynthia looked for bingos for awhile, I assumed I was dead to rights. I am very lucky she didn't realize bingoing wasn't a requirement here.
>Morris_Greenberg: AILNRSZ N9 IZARS +41 405
>Cynthia_Seales: N 10J ..N +6 391
>Cynthia_Seales: (LN) +4 395
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