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#character-encoding UTF-8
#player1 Eric_Goldstein Eric Goldstein
#player2 David_Weisberg David Weisberg
>Eric_Goldstein: ELLW 8G WELL +14 14
>David_Weisberg: AADDIOO 9G ODA +18 18
#note Forgot to record my leave here. I think this was my rack but it may have been slightly different
>Eric_Goldstein: HNT 10F NTH +21 35
>David_Weisberg: ADEINOT 11B DANIO +14 32
#note I would have had I5 DEALATION 62 if not for NTH. I struggled here with no very appealing options. I opted to take a few extra points and blow the board open. The D hook to WELL didn't seem worth relying on enough to fish, since many of the bingo I'd draw don't end in D.
These are delicate, psychological situations which I'm not sure a sim can fully capture, but the top performing of the plays I simmed is F10 NO for 2, followed very closely by exchanging the O. I thought of the exchange but not really the NO play. These are followed a few points behind by F7 OD 12, J6 OIL 5 and J6 DOL 8, and finally, of course, my play, which comes in about 6.5 behind NO. Quackle doesn't adjust its responses to fishing plays like a human would, so even though it claims I bingo 52% after the exchange and 61% after NO, I doubt this matches reality.
Still, I see the merit of the exchange in that it gives nothing additional back and rolls the dice for some easy bingos on the E column, plus some if he decides to play through rather than exchange himself. The idea of the NO play I suppose is to fork the board, since he will usually play on row 12 unless he has something much more compelling. I think I should have exchanged here.
>Eric_Goldstein: FLR C10 F.RL +14 49
>David_Weisberg: EEOQTTY K8 YETT +25 57
#note Sims just slightly behind 12A YORE 29. With the U-less Q now in my rack I was bracing for an exchange next turn, so I wanted to tighten up the board.
>Eric_Goldstein: ABNRY 12F BARNY +16 65
>David_Weisberg: ?EEIOQT -EOQ +0 57
>Eric_Goldstein: AIX J5 AXI. +27 92
>David_Weisberg: ?AEIIOT B4 TAEnIOI. +69 126
>Eric_Goldstein: CNQ 8A C.NQ +75 167
>David_Weisberg: CEEIKNZ A1 ZINE +45 171
>Eric_Goldstein: JM 5I J.M +24 191
>David_Weisberg: CDEEKNS H12 .ECK +30 201
>Eric_Goldstein: BGIRS L1 BRIGS +35 226
>David_Weisberg: DEFNSSV E4 VENDS +34 235
>Eric_Goldstein: DHRT 3J TH.RD +18 244
>David_Weisberg: AFOSTUV 2H VAU +12 247
#note I took a long time here. I'm not sure if I much considered 6H VOX, which sims 5 points ahead of my play, though my play still comes out ahead of all the others I simmed. These included L11 AVO (setting up my F for something like FUSEE or FUSER, I guess) at a point behind VAU, the obvious play of O1 VAST 34 at 1.5 behind VAU, and 1L BOUT 18 at 2 points behind VAU.
I can't fully remember why I chose VAU, but I think I wanted to retain the S to hook THIRD with something better, and kill the many possible bingos on row 2 since it seemed increasingly likely he had the blank if not the last S. There were also three more U's unseen and it seemed like a good idea to shed one before I drew another.
It looks close to me between VOX and VAU, but 5 points is significant in this close game, so I'll agree with the sim that VOX is best. I do often get an E for O1 FUSE 34 next turn too.
>Eric_Goldstein: EER H1 E.ER +24 268
>David_Weisberg: FGOOPST G3 FOG +22 269
>Eric_Goldstein: EIMS O1 MISE +31 299
>David_Weisberg: OPSTW J12 .OW +17 286
#note I forgot to record this or the following racks (time trouble probably), though I remember my exact next rack.
>Eric_Goldstein: IO I14 OI +16 315
>David_Weisberg: AIOPSTU N1 UP.O +28 314
>Eric_Goldstein: AEEG 14A AGEE +18 333
>David_Weisberg: AIOSTUU 15A AIS +27 341
#note I drew OUU to my AIST leave. Pretty brutal. This officially sealed it for me.
>Eric_Goldstein: ?AELPR C2 PEARL +21 354
>David_Weisberg: OTUU L11 OUT +8 349
>Eric_Goldstein: ? 6I o. +16 370
#note Eric commented earlier how weird this game was, and I'd have to agree. Afterward he called it stressful, which it certainly was for me too. Though it was a disappointing finish to this tournament, with its mere single bingo and close combat it may have been one of the most interesting of my games.
>Eric_Goldstein: (U) +2 372
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