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#character-encoding UTF-8
#player1 Quackle Quackle
#player2 New_Player_1 New Player 1
>Quackle: BEGIORT H7 BOG +12 12
#note Sims good vs REND, which is probably a decent 4tile range.
>New_Player_1: AJ G8 JA +23 23
>Quackle: BEILRTU I8 REBUILT +76 88
>New_Player_1: DEKNW 12H W.NKED +36 59
>Quackle: ACEEIIN K10 EI. +14 102
>New_Player_1: AAHRRTV 10I .R.ATH +21 80
>Quackle: ACEHIIN 14H E.HICIAN +92 194
>New_Player_1: ?AGNORV O12 VA.G +36 116
>Quackle: AAEOSTU 13H A.A +15 209
#note Ok, so I was actually right here that ALA has the highest valuation - it sims very closely with OUTA and AUA, the other two moves I was considering.
Eventually OUTA squeaks on top for win%. It's pretty whatever, but theres a lesson - don't leave massive spots open when you're ahead by this much.
Nextly, inference. I inferred no E or S (EAVING, SAVING, other stuff) and a blank isn't that likely because he has bingos fairly often.
So lets give a leave of NAR.
vs NAR seemingly irrelevant, again ALA has the highest equity but on win% it's very close, revealing the same lesson.
Seeing I woulda won the tourney if I won this game, it's pretty annoying.
>New_Player_1: ?MNORSS 15B RaMSONS +104 220
>Quackle: EOSSTUZ B10 ZOSTE. +70 279
>New_Player_1: IQ 10F QI +41 261
>Quackle: EMOPSTU O7 POME +36 315
#note Correct - need to block the spot.
>New_Player_1: ?AEFLNO M3 OLEFiAN. +72 333
>Quackle: FLSTUXY 4L F.UX +44 359
>New_Player_1: AEP O1 APE. +39 372
>Quackle: ILSTTVY 12B .TIVY +22 381
#note I mean, I guess you could make a case for VOLTI.
>New_Player_1: ADDENOU C4 DUODENA +73 445
>Quackle: CDILSTW 8A CL.W +39 420
>New_Player_1: EEENORT B3 RENO +15 460
>Quackle: DGILRST 8L D.G. +8 428
#note I overlooked RIDGILS at the time but the play is definitely to fish for that or RIDGELS. 4/9 is not bad - much better than what I played. I didn't see anything that hit more than the E, and I figured DAGO was better than 2/9, but 4/9 is huge.
The sim is giving DAGO the nod, but andrew is probably hoarding the Es. I'm not sure. It says 50% (can't be right) but I guess with an E I certainly have options. Anyway I think this is a pretty clear mistake. Just missed RIDGILS - saw STRIGIL, but a lack of study for fast word finding hurts.
>New_Player_1: EEORTUY A1 ROUT +22 482
>Quackle: IILRSTY N3 R.LY +36 464
#note ran out of time - but this is right.
>New_Player_1: EEI E11 E.E +12 494
>Quackle: IIST J6 TIS +16 480
#note perfect game more or less - RIDGILS maybe.
>New_Player_1: I C12 .I +8 502
>New_Player_1: (I) +2 504
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