Game Details
Player 1
#player1 fagen fagen
#player2 jackson jackson
>fagen: AMOTY 8H ATOMY +28 28
>jackson: EIINRSW 9H WINIER +30 30
>fagen: IMNX 10F MINX +35 63
>jackson: ?DGNNSU 11B DUNGaNS +78 108
#note phony
>fagen: BINOU D9 BU.ION +16 79
>jackson: AAFLPRS 15A ARFS +34 142
>fagen: AELORTU E3 TORULAE +68 147
>jackson: AGKLLPV 4C VL.G +16 158
#note AKLP is a definite improvement over AGLP, but statically only 3.4, not 6. I figured this was the case, but I really liked VLOG here for other reasons - I feel like the K has more power over the G on this board (14a plays, 13 row plays), but especially I liked to not give back the easy S hook on VOLK 4D - that S spot doesn't go away, and it's a pesky way to score 40+ points for the rest of the game, and I'd rather not have that. VOLK beats VLOG in a sim by about 1.6 but I'm happy with this.

13B VLOG is okay as well to encourage overlaps on the D and F column - even though michael gets first crack and likely gets the better scoring spot, my rack is more conducive than his. however I like complicating things with VLOG and taking away easy scoring plays.
>fagen: EFIT 14A FEI.T +30 177
>jackson: AAABKLP 13C K.A +36 194
#note again opting for a more complicated board and one that is easier for me to control - KOALA is a bit more standard, although the L really helps ABP, valuation-wise it's not worth the 6 point sacrifice to play KOA over KOALA. However, the 14 row is really really hard to block effectively, and it's a threat I do not want lingering, because I feel more comfortable outmanoeuvring on a tight board. If the difference were 10 points or something I'd definitely take KOALA though (it wins a sim by about 4)
>fagen: EETVW 7B TWE.VE +17 194
>jackson: AABEELP 3E .APEABLE +69 263
#note i am luksak
>fagen: CDJORRU 2F JO +56 250
>jackson: AHILRSY 1G HAIRY +41 304
#note lots of vowels in the pool so LS is fine
>fagen: ?AEGIRU 6G REfUGIA +61 311
>jackson: CLPQSST M5 Q.T +13 317
#note I think this is the play no matter what, but I remember being unrighteously happy with it - I saw the prospect of SPEC 10K next turn with a likely E draw, setting up my case S unblockably. this was awesome and gonna basically seal the game, but I forgot about the T hook on SPEC. Still, qat is the play, lots of vowels in the pool so my outrunning chances are really good. I can still draw some other setups on row 10 though.
>fagen: DOOR 4I ROOD +24 335
>jackson: CEILPSS 10L PEC +23 340
#note Hmmm

I didn't see MINXES which is pretty cool. A big issue here is the Z, which is a real threat for outscoring (8a, 2L). It's very very unlikely he kept the Z last turn.

I noticed SPECT now so I was uneasy with letting him have the T hook half the time (no reason to think he has or doesn't have the T here - it's slightly more than half because there are a couple other letters he cannot have with ROOD).

I played PEC because it only takes an H, and he would have played HOOD if he had an H last turn, so he's only 4/11 to draw the H. I also expect he could miss it a certain amount of the time, so I probably get to use the setup 70% of the time. I may not zlways outrun ZOO plays at 8a, but I will much more consistently than with other plays. As well, if he does have the H, he may not get a great play there, and I may be able to set up the Ss again next turn.
>fagen: CINZ 2L ZINC +43 378
>jackson: DEHILSS O4 SHIELDS +94 434
#note I was 99% sure of PECH but didn't want to risk it :D
>jackson: (ADEEOOT) +16 450
Player 2
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