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#player1 Arie Arie
#player2 Lloyd Lloyd
>Arie: CEENOQZ 8D COZEN +38 38
>Lloyd: ABCIISS H1 ABSCISI. +95 95
>Arie: Q -Q +0 38
#note No recollection of what I exchanged here other than the Q. I believe I exchanged 5.
>Lloyd: ORX G6 OX.R +39 134
>Arie: ?EIJMNT 2F JI. +28 66
>Lloyd: EOY F2 .OEY +14 148
>Arie: ?EEHMNT E7 H.TElMEN +74 140
#note I chickened out of ANTHEMED and didn't see ATHENEUM. 15 point loss.
>Lloyd: EIIQSTU 14D I.QUIETS +89 237
>Arie: EGNNORT K7 RONTGEN. +68 208
>Lloyd: AEFLOOV J3 FOVEOLA +71 308
>Arie: ?AELPRR 12B tRA.PLER +74 282
#note A number of difficult plays are better - REPLACER D3 and PRETRIAL 10H. A seven point loss.
>Lloyd: ADEH 15A HEAD +35 343
>Arie: EELNOTU L1 TOLUENE +69 351
>Lloyd: IKP 4C PIK. +20 363
>Arie: DIILORT L9 DIOL +23 374
#note So close to TRIPLOID.
>Lloyd: FGU M12 FUG +20 383
>Arie: ABIIRRT I9 BAR.I.R +23 397
#note Wins a sim over BIRR. We're looking at about 44% to win here.
>Lloyd: AADSTUY 5D DA. +29 412
>Arie: DINTUVW 10B WIV.D +24 421
#note This is a brutally difficult position - the only plays I considered were this, DUNT 15L, and WUD 3B. I wasn't very optimistic about pulling out a win after either of the other two choices against the pool - going into the endgame with a small lead and 6 or 7 tiles against an opponent who likely has an S and flexible tiles. I opted to go for this because if I play it and draw the S I probably threaten some scoring plays both on column A and 15L-O. However, I should be inferring that Lloyd probably has an S from PIKE. Q suggests VIEW 10c, retaining DUNT 15l for 29, and WIND m2, scoring 30 now and retaining the U for 15M. Either way we're looking at a 18-15% shot to win the game, and not getting the S makes it even less likely. WIVED does better in a sim than WUD but a bit worse than DUNT.
>Lloyd: AAEGMST A6 GAMES +37 449
>Arie: ANTUWY 15L YUAN +41 462
>Lloyd: AT 14A AT +13 462
>Lloyd: (TW) +10 472
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