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#player1 Matthew_Ridout Matthew Ridout
#player2 Tod_Taylor Tod Taylor
>Matthew_Ridout: AACEHPT 8D HEPCAT +34 34
#note PACHA 8D one, mine 2nd
>Tod_Taylor: AELM 9C MALE +20 20
>Matthew_Ridout: AABDINS I8 .ABANIDS +63 97
#note INDABAS J2 best, mine 4th
>Tod_Taylor: ??ILOOR 15H O.tIOLaR +113 133
>Matthew_Ridout: EGNQRUZ 13G QU.Z +32 129
#note best
>Tod_Taylor: NO J9 NO +12 145
>Matthew_Ridout: EEEEGNR K6 RENEGE +23 152
#note best, and best maybe that could've been hoped fo out of an EEE draw
>Tod_Taylor: IM 14I .IM +25 170
>Matthew_Ridout: DEFHTTY 10D EDH +41 193
#note best
>Tod_Taylor: ABEEORV O8 OVERBEA. +98 268
>Matthew_Ridout: AFITTWY N10 FA +28 221
#note WIFTY 7A best, mine 2nd
>Tod_Taylor: AGIL 6J G.AIL +12 280
>Matthew_Ridout: AIOTTWY M11 WOT +18 239
#note YOW M11 best, mine outside top ten
>Tod_Taylor: AGJLU H5 JUG.L +17 297
>Matthew_Ridout: AEEIRTY L12 YE +22 261
#note best
>Tod_Taylor: FIW M3 WIF. +20 317
#note Aaaaaand this still isn't valid. Whoops.
>Matthew_Ridout: AEEIORT 5E RIO.A +24 285
#note best
>Tod_Taylor: DPT 4L D.PT +16 333
>Matthew_Ridout: DEEOTUX 4C DUET +14 299
#note My play was not on CP's initial list of suggestions, but was a runaway #1 on a deep sim run.
I can score my X in one of two spots next turn, and I'm hoping he if he blocks, he has to do so for few points and/or maybe inure a good rack
>Tod_Taylor: IN 6D IN +5 338
#note I got what I reasonably hoped for, though it's possible that these were duplcates on his rack, mitigating the damage to his rack I hoped to do. just don't know.
>Matthew_Ridout: CEEOORX 3B COX +39 338
#note HELP!
OXO 3A best (34% to win, 9% better than next best; 23 valuation pts); mine 7th (23% to win, 27 valuation pts)
The difference in ordinal rank between the two stayed the same after a deep sim.
Why wouldn't I want the extra 13 pts here? Since I'm tying the game, I don't feel like I need the desperate volatility of the A column opening here. Does it just come down to the respective value of the two leaves?
>Tod_Taylor: IKS 14E SKI +28 366
#note Not knowing what else he had, CP estimates him at just over 80% to win now
>Matthew_Ridout: EENORSU 11C ENS +23 361
#note OW 3L here is 34% to win and nothing else comes close. Mine valuated a little better, but was only 9% to win. Just flat out underestimated the need to bingo for a possible win here.
>Tod_Taylor: ANTY O1 NAT.Y +24 390
>Matthew_Ridout: EORRUV 13B ROVE +16 377
#note OVERRUN 1I and out best, though not enough for the win. mine 4th, 22 valuation pts behind
>Tod_Taylor: IST A13 TIS +17 407
>Tod_Taylor: (RU) +4 411
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