| Player 1 |
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#player1 Chris_Cree Chris Cree
#player2 Matt_Canik Matt Canik
>Chris_Cree: ACFHU 8D CHUFA +32 32
>Matt_Canik: EEEIIMT D3 EMETI. +20 20
>Chris_Cree: DOU C3 DUO +20 52
>Matt_Canik: AEHINOT 6D .HIONATE +65 85
>Chris_Cree: FOY B2 FOY +30 82
>Matt_Canik: EEGINRT 9H TREEING +62 147
>Chris_Cree: DEIRV H1 VERDI. +36 118
>Matt_Canik: DEILNOR A1 DOL +22 169
>Chris_Cree: UX 8L XU +36 154
>Matt_Canik: BEEINRS 7I BE +16 185
>Chris_Cree: EGOUV 10D VOGUE +16 170
>Matt_Canik: ?EIINRS 1H .INERIeS +83 268
>Chris_Cree: Q 7C Q. +21 191
>Matt_Canik: AIKNPTW 5K WINK +32 300
#note With all the unseen As, it's probably right to play WANK here
>Chris_Cree: AILOTY 3G O.ALITY +24 215
>Matt_Canik: AAALLPT 6M AAL +15 315
#note If I'm 100% that AXIAL doesn't take an S then I win the game on this turn. But I'm not.
>Chris_Cree: AGS O5 S.AG +27 242
>Matt_Canik: AAJLPTT J9 .T +4 319
#note Same deal with AXIAL here.
I feel that Chris' odds of having a bingo beginning with an S are significantly higher than the odds that he has one with an A as the second letter, especially after his last play, so I think I'm helping myself here by blocking this. I play JALAP next turn, kill the board, score a bunch, and end the game unless he has a bingo with the pattern ?A?????.
Even without putting in rack inferrence of S, Q says that he is more likely to bingo beginning with an S by 4.5%.
>Chris_Cree: ABDENRS 11I BANDERS +73 315
#note Ok
>Matt_Canik: AAJLPRT O11 .PLAT +30 349
#note If I pull the Z I can play ZA, and with the case A he can't.
>Chris_Cree: ?NOPRSW 11E WOP +33 348
>Matt_Canik: ACEJRSZ N14 ZA +46 395
#note And I'm sunk. He has ORPIMENT on bottom or MERINOS on top.
Should have known AXIAL didn't take an S.
>Chris_Cree: ?EIMNOR 12A MERINOs +86 434
>Chris_Cree: (CEJRS) +28 462
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