| Player 1 |
|
#player1 Jim_Burlant Jim Burlant
#player2 Mike_Baron Mike Baron
>Jim_Burlant: ACOOOSV -OOOV +0 0
#note I'm a bit surprised by this - Quackle wants me to play 8F AVO and keep COOS. Duplicated O's aren't the worst thing, but I think that could get ugly pretty quickly with the wrong draw. Q says 8H AVO wins just shy of 51%; this wins 49.7 and sims not quite 2-1/2 points down. Sim notwithstanding, I'd do this again.
>Mike_Baron: AAKNOST -AAK +0 0
>Jim_Burlant: ACDESSY 8G CAY +16 16
#note Mike had overdrawn on his exchange and, following the overdraw procedure, we turned over EXZ. After puzzling over what to toss back in, I threw the E back into the bag, figuring that I'd alter my play knowing his rack in much the same way I might if I had challenged off a phony bingo. Knowing that he had XZ in his rack, I opted to play short, figuring to limit him to a probable worst-case play of ZAX 7H, in which case I would underlap the Z on row 9 or overlap the X on row 6. ZAXES J4 is a possible comeback for him, but given that I have 2 S's he has roughly a 15% chance of even having an S. When simmed against his rack fragment of XZ, this concedes roughly 5 equity to 8C DECAYS (sim winner) despite giving up 10 scoreboard points. Given how this panned out, while I wound up bagging Mike (as you'll soon see), I do think that, in retrospect, the X is what should have gone back into the bag. Having said all that, I don't know that I like playing long knowing that he's sitting on either the Z or the X.
>Mike_Baron: OOXZ I5 OOZ. +26 26
#note Q prefers that Mike play ZOO 7H. He told me post-mortem that he was doing this to set up the X.
>Jim_Burlant: ADENSST G5 DES.ANTS +63 79
#note I saw the obvious X setup, but this rack didn't leave me much choice. This is the only bingo. Even simmed against a probable INX (which is what he put down next turn) this is my best play. J6 EAST, which is about the only thing that blocks his X, still wins 2% less often than the bingo, as I'm drawing a fresh 7 and have another triple to work with.
>Mike_Baron: INX J4 NIX +53 79
>Jim_Burlant: ?EHNOVW H12 HOWE +51 130
#note I knew Quackle would want me to play HOVE instead of this. The V isn't a prize, but I do consider it a hair more bingo prone than the W, which is why I played off the W. Q says this is the bronze medalist to HOVE or H12 HEWN. Maybe HEWN would have been a smidgen better both in terms of leave and board position, but this came out in the wash.
>Mike_Baron: DIK 6D DIK. +19 98
>Jim_Burlant: ?IMNORV 15A VOMeRIN. +86 216
#note Couldn't think of OVeRMINE, and I debated between OMNIVORE and this. I settled on this because I felt it was the best of all defensive worlds. While an O sitting at A15 is certainly not as juicy of a bingo line as, say, putting an R or S there, there still are a few bingos ending in O (a check of zyzzyva shows 156 8's that end in O) where there are only 3 ending in V. But, more importantly, the J is unseen. If I put down OMNIVORE , a J bomb at 14F scores 55 or 56 depending on where I put the blank, and the A - D columns are still open. With this, if Mike has a J bomb waiting for me, it will score a handful fewer points at 14B and seal off the southwest for me. Quackle just wants me to take the extra 3 points with OVERMINE. I'd make this play again.
>Mike_Baron: Q F14 Q. +31 129
>Jim_Burlant: AEEEGRR 14H .AGERER +30 246
#note The 7 doesn't play and the only 8 is REGEARED, which doesn't. This is best, as the only plays which preserve more of the rack either slot the 3x3 or leave duplicates, or give up too much on the scoreboard.
>Mike_Baron: ?DITUVY E5 V.DUITY +56 185
#note This was Mike's rack and this is an amazing play. Wow!!! I had absolutely no idea if that was good; I held, but I wasn't about to risk my turn given that I had a healthy comeback play coming. This is Mike's best play without a doubt.
>Jim_Burlant: AENSSTW O12 WAST +45 291
#note Best, 96% to win.
>Mike_Baron: ?FGIU B11 FUGI. +18 203
>Jim_Burlant: AEELNST K7 SELENAT. +66 357
#note Again, Quackle wants me to take the points with the M7 placement. I didn't mind trading a handful of points for what I considered the better defensive posture.
>Mike_Baron: CET 10J C.TE +12 215
>Jim_Burlant: BDIJLOP 8A POIL. +24 381
#note Given Mike's last play, my main concern was shutting down the easy run at the A column that FUGIO had given Mike. While this accomplishes that, there was a much better play available: BIJOU, which I almost always miss. That said, I still don't know why I didn't see 12A JUDO. This was third in the sim, but JUDO should have been the play.
>Mike_Baron: ?EIINNT N4 INTINEs +64 279
#note Best bingo is apparently L2 KINETIN and second best is B2 LENITION (blank L)
>Jim_Burlant: ABDHIJR O1 BARD +32 413
#note I was more worried about limiting scoring for him. Everything wins 100% now. I played the A instead of the I because I'm sitting on the case I and there are still 3 A's unseen. The J can wait another turn.
>Mike_Baron: FOPR M1 PROF +25 304
>Jim_Burlant: AEGHIJU 12A J.GA +40 453
>Mike_Baron: L 5I ..L +6 310
>Jim_Burlant: AEEHIOU 2M .I. +6 459
>Mike_Baron: AEELORU M7 LUR. +14 324
>Jim_Burlant: AEEEHOU C11 A.O +19 478
>Mike_Baron: ABEMO L12 BA.M +32 356
>Jim_Burlant: EEEHU 13H .H +18 496
>Mike_Baron: EO F10 OE +15 371
>Mike_Baron: (EEEU) +8 379
|
