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#player1 Matthew Matthew
#player2 Linda_O. Linda O.
>Matthew: AAGTUWW 8G WAW +18 18
>Linda_O.: BY H7 B.Y +8 8
>Matthew: AGLRSTU G8 .AUL +14 32
#note (-30) Atrocious blindness once again. Completely forgot the -L hook. Missed a chance to score well and leave great bingo tiles.
>Linda_O.: ?AEINSU 12G SINUAtE +72 80
>Matthew: EGORSST K8 STOR.GES +68 100
#note Don't worry, karma from last turn's blunder will strike.
>Linda_O.: EEHR 15K .HEER +36 116
>Matthew: CFJPRTT 10J J.T +26 126
>Linda_O.: MY 14M MY +28 144
>Matthew: ACCFPRT 8K .CRAP +36 162
#note (-3) Sigh... SCARF.
>Linda_O.: EM F10 ME +22 166
>Matthew: CFINNOTT E11 COFT +28 190
#note (-1.9) F(I)CIN. I missed that spot and I missed the word.
>Linda_O.: FIRZ 14B FRI.Z +74 240
>Matthew: EIILNPT 12A PINT. +20 210
#note (-9.2) L(I)PIN same place.
>Linda_O.: Q 11B Q +11 251
>Matthew: DEEEIIL C10 DI.E. +23 233
>Linda_O.: EGV N7 G.VE +10 261
>Matthew: AEEILNT D4 LINEATE +69 302
>Linda_O.: DIOX E2 OXID +32 293
>Matthew: ABEOORV 15F AVO +29 331
>Linda_O.: DNU F2 DUN +27 320
>Matthew: ABELORU C5 RUB +21 352
#note (-65.2) RUBEOLAR. I don't know it, but I wish to hell I did.
>Linda_O.: DE 6B D..E +22 342
>Matthew: AAEELOT I7 A.E +20 372
#note This play sims second best, which surprises me because it seemed like a huge error. I had no reason to open up that line. LIN(EOLAR) is best.
>Linda_O.: IKR G4 KIR +15 357
#note Ok. This is probably one of the toughest positions I've encountered in a game. I'm up 12 points. There are a couple bingo lines open and great tiles unseen. There is a notable non-bingo scoring lane (hooking LINK-S). There are 4 in the bag. So obviously, I'm worried about the bingo line in column J. But there is a lot of other stuff to consider. The LINKS spot concerns me because she can definitely win without needing a bingo. GHIS is a big 37 there. So I need to worry about bingos, nonbingos, and turnover. Ideally, I would like to play off 1-2 tiles or 6. This sets me up for a chance to go out first if it comes down to a race for that. Anyways, think about this position and decide what you would do before clicking on.
>Matthew: AELNOOT J2 ETALON +15 387
#note Firstly, Quackle gives no definitive answer. There are about a dozen plays simming between 46% and 54% chance of winning. After simming over 700 iterations on many plies, there is still no play that breaks away from the rest. ETALON is in the top 4. I like it a lot. It takes out the 7-letter bingo line. It gives her only two highly restrictive 8-letter bingo lines, it scores a significant 15 points, and it turns over six tiles. This gives me a decent chance of going out with five tiles next turn if I can draw the blank or the S. Unfortunately, it leaves LINKS open, something I was forced to concede. The other top simming plays are OLEA and TOEA at 8A, leaving the danger zone alone entirely. And LOOP at O5. LOOP is interesting; I didn't even consider making a fish play, but it was a considerable move. With LOOP, she comes down with fASHION, and I have a 30% chance of drawing into TANGLIER or another bingo. It's a decent shot.
>Linda_O.: ?AHINOS 3H AS.ONIsH +72 429
#note My heart sank when I drew into GILO. I knew I was sunk.
>Linda_O.: (GILOO) +12 441
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