Game Details
Player 1
#player1 Mike_Early Mike Early
#player2 Jim_Burlant Jim Burlant
>Mike_Early: CMU 8G CUM +14 14
>Jim_Burlant: DIORTUW G8 .OW +9 9
#note No good options, and I had no idea what to do. The best scoring option is TOW 9H. In the absence of having any idea what to do, I figured I'd just unload the least bingo prone of the tiles, which was the W. Q says 9H TUI 11 is best.
>Mike_Early: ACLT 11E TALC +21 35
>Jim_Burlant: DIRSTTU 12C DUIT +14 23
#note I was fixated on front-hooking CUM with a bingo ending in S and wasn't looking hard enough for best play. This is runner-up in the 2-ply sim, winning 1.5% less often than DUITS, and it sims roughly 3-1/2 points down. DUITS was best, but this may have come out in the wash if I didn't draw another S by turning the extra tile.
>Mike_Early: EEGINNS F2 ENGINES +70 105
>Jim_Burlant: BRRSTTX 5D BR.TT +14 37
#note Q prefers BRUX H6; 22 - I saw this and felt I had to clear as much of this rack out as possible. 15% to win.
>Mike_Early: EOO D4 O.OE +12 117
>Jim_Burlant: AILQRSX C9 QAI.S +50 87
#note Best. Of note: J6 QIS 41, H11 CALIX 45. The one question: would I have gotten 50 for the Q had I played DUITS a few turns ago?Back up to 26%.
>Mike_Early: AJW C2 JAW +31 148
>Jim_Burlant: LORRRUX H11 .RUOR +24 111
#note Was about to exchange, then I saw this. This is probably the best play I made this game: it maximizes score, and it does a terrific job clearing the crap out of this utterly dreadful rack. Q agrees - it's best.
>Mike_Early: ?ADEOSS 4H AlDOSES +69 217
#note Plays at J2 for 72, and 15H ROADLESS scores 74.,
>Jim_Burlant: EILNPRX H1 EXP.. +42 153
#note Takes not quite 100 iterations to percolate to the top, but this is best. 9% to win.
>Mike_Early: ABEGL M2 GL.BAE +20 237
>Jim_Burlant: ?EILNPR L6 PRaLINE +72 225
#note I couldn't believe that I was actually back in this game, as much as I'd struggled in the early game. As for this choice, Q confirms that there is nothing on rows 14 or 15. This is a solid choice, but it's not best. I missed PURLINES 13G, which scores 76 and wins 28-1/2%. This wins 26-1/2 in a short sim.
>Mike_Early: GHNT 14F TH.NG +15 252
>Jim_Burlant: DEFNORY B10 YO +28 253
#note Way too paranoid about the unseen Z to look anywhere else. The sim says either this or N4 SOY are best, and 2J FORGED is also in the mix. I whiffed on FORGED. I considered and rejected SOY because, while it scored well, it lt didn't defend against a potential game-clinching ZA B10. 45% to win.
>Mike_Early: ADEHN 2J HAN.ED +38 290
>Jim_Burlant: ADEFNOR A8 FOR +24 277
#note Q doesn't like this at all, saying that I should simply fish with 5J OF and try to draw into a bingo ending in ER down the A column. OF wins 39%; this wins 30. Given that I drew AEI on my replenish, it may not have mattered.
>Mike_Early: FIK K10 KIF +35 325
>Jim_Burlant: AADEEIN 1N AE +17 294
#note Or N4 SADI. 14.5% to win.
>Mike_Early: AEM N4 .AME +32 357
>Jim_Burlant: ADEINVZ O7 DEVA +29 323
#note Getting too cute for my own good, trying to set up ZIN and gambling that he didn't have a block. One thing that doesn't show up in the annotation is that, once again, Mike's warp speed play was factoring in. I was under 1 minute while he was at 17. What I didn't know is that the bag contained ILOY, which sealed my fate. While I probably got this turn wrong, during post-mortem analysis Mike and I figured out that, no matter what I put down (even if I played DAZE or DIZEN), I was dead. Champ says I should have just played ZA/(FE)Z for 37, which wins 36%.
>Mike_Early: EIILTUV N10 TUI +9 366
>Jim_Burlant: IILNOYZ J4 .OZY +37 360
#note Best is ZOO 6B to block his out. Maybe I'd have seen that if I'd managed my time better.
>Mike_Early: EIRV B5 RIVE +14 380
>Mike_Early: (IILN) +8 388
Player 2
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